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Anchoring Effect Influence when Forecasting Macroeconomic Indices



Andrey Belykh
Ivan Grigoryev
Dmitry Yegorov
andrey_belykh@mail.ru
andrey_belykh@mail.ru
andrey_belykh@mail.ru
valuer of the Department of Consulting and Evaluation of “Obverse Evaluation of City Property”
senior lecturer at the Department of Economic Theory and Business of St. Petersburg National Research University of Information Technology, Mechanics and Optics, PhD in Economics
PhD in Economics
St. Petersburg
St. Petersburg
St. Petersburg
We offer results of the research dedicated to the influence of anchoring effect when making forecasting decisions in the experiment concerning how individuals forecast inflation rate. We prove the presence of anchoring effect influencing forecasting economic indices. The results of the experiment are given proving the absence of sustainable influence of psychological characteristics of personality psychotype on the result of decision-making.

Keywords:

  • heuristics
  • anchoring effect
  • forecasting
  • decision making
  • personality psychotype
  • 188300 Russia, Leningrad region, Gatchina, st. Roshchinskaya, 5